Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves v Detroit Pistons

2026-10-15 00:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)

Prediction 51.88%1.93fair odd
EV +3.77%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.142%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%52.00%51.90%54.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.882.0057.80%54.18%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 48.12%2.08fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.496%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.45%48.00%48.10%52.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.932.1054.64%51.40%51.81%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Timberwolves (Local): 51.88%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 48.12%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +3.77%E +1.88%K +3.77%G +0.142%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -11.95%E -6.53%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-14 07:41
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.900%E -0.471%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 07:44
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.42%E -0.747%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.58%E -4.52%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-14 07:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.94%E -1.03%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-14 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:40
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:44
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -2.46%E -1.31%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.14%E -3.70%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-14 07:44
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.05%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.18%E -3.17%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 07:44
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.16%E -4.61%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.04%E +0.496%K +0.947%G +0.010%4.1%2026-10-14 06:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.16%E -4.61%K -10.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.10%E -4.24%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-14 07:44
picklebet_au🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.68%E -4.93%K -11.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.54%E -5.08%K -10.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-14 07:44
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +1.04%E +0.496%K +0.947%G +0.010%4.8%2026-10-14 07:43
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.20%E -5.26%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.079%E +0.038%K +0.073%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-14 07:44
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -10.24%E -5.92%K -14.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -7.62%E -3.97%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 07:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-10-14 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-10-14 07:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-10-14 07:44
Arbitrage (5 combinations) +2.44%Bovada 2.00 (51.2%) / FanDuel 2.10 (48.8%)Show all 5 combinations
Minnesota Timberwolves (Local)Detroit Pistons (Visit)Margin
Bovada🎯 2.00 (51.2%)Caesars🎯 2.10 (48.8%)+2.44%
Bovada🎯 2.00 (51.2%)FanDuel🎯 2.10 (48.8%)+2.44%
Bovada🎯 2.00 (51.0%)SportsBet🎯 2.08 (49.0%)+1.96%
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (52.4%)Caesars🎯 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%
DraftKings🎯 1.91 (52.4%)FanDuel🎯 2.10 (47.6%)+0.025%