Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves

2026-10-06 00:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 38.60%2.59fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.575%
Kelly +0.928%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.32%38.31%38.96%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.632.6342.55%39.28%38.02%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)

Prediction 61.40%1.63fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.57%61.69%61.04%63.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.511.501.5766.67%66.16%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 38.60%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 61.40%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.63, producing a positive expected value of +1.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +1.51%E +0.575%K +0.928%G +0.014%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-04 09:15
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.73%E -1.08%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.05%E -3.96%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 08:33
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.51%E -1.40%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.28%E -4.82%K -14.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 08:34
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.44%E -2.22%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.60%E -2.29%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-04 08:30
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.21%E -2.55%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-04 11:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.30%E -3.96%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.05%E -3.96%K -11.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 11:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.30%E -3.96%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.90%E -5.26%K -15.79%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 30.51%1.01I 99.01%NM 69.49%42.5%2026-10-04 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 30.51%1.01I 99.01%NM 69.49%42.5%2026-10-04 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 30.51%1.01I 99.01%NM 69.49%42.5%2026-10-04 13:15