The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Milwaukee Bucks v Chicago Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 00:10 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Bucks 104–125 Chicago Bulls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Bucks (Local)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV +9.01%
Edge +2.77%
Kelly +4.01%
Growth +0.361%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%33.64%33.49%37.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.912.883.2540.00%34.37%34.78%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 66.46%1.50fair odd
EV +0.351%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.97%66.36%66.51%70.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.421.5174.07%71.11%70.67%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Bucks (Local): 33.54%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 66.46%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:05
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:00
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:04
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:05
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +9.01%E +2.77%K +4.01%G +0.361%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 00:00
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV +1.30%E +0.430%K +0.642%G +0.008%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -8.95%E -6.53%K -24.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +0.627%E +0.209%K +0.313%G +0.002%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 00:05
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -1.05%E -0.356%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-15 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.06%E -0.704%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 00:00
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.73%E -0.941%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 00:05
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.40%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.30%E -2.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.74%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.97%E -3.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -5.41%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -6.29%E -4.46%K -15.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 00:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-15 00:05
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -6.08%E -2.17%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 00:04
ReBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -9.10%E -3.36%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -2.31%E -1.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 23:54
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.11%E -4.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 00:00
Caesars🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -12.12%E -4.63%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV +0.351%E +0.233%K +0.689%G +0.002%4.4%2026-10-14 22:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 23:59
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.79%E -4.92%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.29%E -6.01%K -21.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-15 00:05
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -16.14%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -2.31%E -1.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-14 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -16.14%E -6.46%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -3.64%E -2.51%K -8.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-10-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-10-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%2.2%2026-10-15 00:05