The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Memphis Grizzlies v Charlotte Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC

Final: Memphis Grizzlies 117–98 Charlotte Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Memphis Grizzlies (Local)

Prediction 55.54%1.80fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.959%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.58%55.41%57.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.15%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 44.46%2.25fair odd
EV +0.039%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.89%44.42%44.59%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2548.78%47.18%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Memphis Grizzlies (Local): 55.54%; Charlotte Hornets (Visit): 44.46%. For Charlotte Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.249. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.250, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.039%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.039%E +0.017%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 23:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.039%E +0.017%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-16 23:55
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +0.039%E +0.017%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 00:00
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.29%E -0.583%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 23:54
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.85%E -2.27%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 23:55
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.36%E -1.93%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.19%E -2.93%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.70%E -0.959%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 20:45
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:35
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:35
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.81%E -1.60%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.47%E -2.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-16 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.03%E -2.94%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-16 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.14%E -3.63%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.63%E -3.16%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 23:55
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.52%E -3.62%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 23:55
picklebet_au🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.59%E -3.29%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 00:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.36%E -5.07%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.85%E -4.32%K -8.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-10-17 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-17 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-10-17 00:05