The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Clippers v Denver Nuggets

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 02:40 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Clippers 122–110 Denver Nuggets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Clippers (Local)

Prediction 34.60%2.89fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.758%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%34.77%34.47%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.702.8539.22%36.74%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Nuggets (Visit)

Prediction 65.40%1.53fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.23%65.53%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.471.5072.46%68.94%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Clippers (Local): 34.60%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 65.40%. For Los Angeles Clippers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.40%E -0.492%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-15 02:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.40%E -0.492%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 02:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.09%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-15 02:20
BetUS🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.09%E -0.740%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-15 02:20
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.51%E -3.09%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 02:34
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 02:18
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 02:34
SportsBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -3.48%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -7.13%E -5.02%K -16.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 02:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:19
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:15
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.82%E -4.04%K -13.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 02:04
picklebet_au🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.78%E -5.52%K -18.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 02:24
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.86%E -2.62%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 02:35
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.43%E -6.02%K -21.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-15 02:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.89%E -1.26%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 02:30
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.74%E -7.06%K -25.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-15 02:24
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.78%E -4.62%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.16%E -3.56%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-15 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-10-15 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-10-15 02:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.55%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.45%1.2%2026-10-15 02:35