Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors v Sacramento Kings

2026-10-11 00:30 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.68%66.08%66.28%67.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.431.4772.46%70.02%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 33.92%2.95fair odd
EV +0.070%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.036%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.25%33.92%33.72%35.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.802.9538.46%35.79%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Golden State Warriors (Local): 66.08%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 33.92%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.948. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.950, producing a positive expected value of +0.070%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.070%E +0.024%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 13:56
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%EV -8.15%E -5.86%K -20.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%EV -0.947%E -0.324%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.63%E -0.561%K -0.856%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-10 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 13:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.49%E -5.35%K -18.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.32%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 19:59
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.02%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 18:35
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -4.19%E -2.89%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -5.36%E -1.92%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.83%E -4.84%K -16.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.71%E -2.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -2.87%E -1.95%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -7.73%E -2.84%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.85%E -3.37%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -8.07%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 14:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -5.51%E -3.85%K -12.81%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -8.07%E -2.98%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -6.17%E -4.34%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.81%E -6.39%K -23.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.80%E -4.54%K -7.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-10-10 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-10-10 20:10