Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons v Phoenix Suns

2026-10-05 23:00 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd

EV -3.56%

Edge -2.12%

Kelly -5.23%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.14%57.41%57.44%57.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.581.641.651.6863.29%60.88%60.42%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 42.59%2.35fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -2.05%

Kelly -3.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.36%42.59%42.56%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.152.212.222.2446.51%45.30%45.05%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Pistons (Local): 57.41%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 42.59%. For Detroit Pistons (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.74. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.68, with an expected value of -3.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-04 04:45
FanDuel🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.71%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-04 04:44
SportsBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.29%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-04 04:45
Betsson🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.30%E -5.88%K -16.03%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.42%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-04 08:24

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.