The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Pistons v Phoenix Suns

Kickoff: 2026-10-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Pistons (Local)

Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.07%58.26%57.99%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.631.611.6963.29%61.52%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Phoenix Suns (Visit)

Prediction 41.90%2.39fair odd
EV +0.552%
Edge +0.230%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.74%42.01%42.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.312.4046.51%43.81%43.20%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Pistons (Local): 58.10%; Phoenix Suns (Visit): 41.90%. For Phoenix Suns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.552%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.552%E +0.230%K +0.394%G +0.002%3.8%2026-10-05 15:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.54%E -0.656%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-05 15:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.96%E -0.838%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-05 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:09
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -2.38%E -1.02%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.64%E -1.58%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-05 01:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.81%E -1.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 13:51
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 14:25
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.29%E -3.25%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.87%E -3.63%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.73%E -2.55%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -2.97%E -1.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-05 14:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -6.99%E -3.15%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 14:14
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.13%E -2.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 13:51
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.45%E -4.01%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.83%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-05 14:30
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -8.20%E -5.19%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -9.92%E -4.61%K -8.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 10:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-10-05 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-10-05 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-10-05 10:55