Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz

2026-10-04 23:10 UTC — NBA Preseason

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prediction 59.26%1.69fair odd

EV -2.21%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -3.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%59.26%59.26%60.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.601.581.6564.10%62.63%63.29%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visit)

Prediction 40.74%2.45fair odd

EV -2.24%

Edge -0.931%

Kelly -1.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.49%40.74%40.74%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.362.392.4043.48%42.31%41.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denver Nuggets (Local): 59.26%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 40.74%. For Denver Nuggets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.65, with an expected value of -2.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.21%E -1.34%K -3.41%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.31%E -2.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.36%E -4.03%K -10.97%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.24%E -0.931%K -1.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-02 08:39
SportsBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -7.55%E -4.84%K -13.48%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -2.64%E -1.11%K -1.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-02 08:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-02 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-02 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%	98.0%	2026-10-02 09:15