The School of Odds
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Dallas Mavericks v Atlanta Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC

Final: Dallas Mavericks 111–135 Atlanta Hawks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 51.05%1.96fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.41%51.19%51.05%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.871.8856.82%54.01%53.48%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 48.95%2.04fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.81%48.95%49.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.941.9554.64%51.86%51.55%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Mavericks (Local): 51.05%; Atlanta Hawks (Visit): 48.95%. For Dallas Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -4.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 00:04
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.03%E -2.14%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 05:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 05:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 07:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 13:39
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:10
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.54%E -2.43%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.03%E -2.59%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 05:14
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.01%E -3.13%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-16 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.56%E -3.01%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-16 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.07%E -3.30%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.48%E -3.96%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-16 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.54%E -2.33%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 18:10
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 00:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.99%E -3.68%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 00:00
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -8.12%E -4.51%K -10.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -10.42%E -5.69%K -12.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 00:04
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.16%E -5.77%K -13.36%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.97%E -4.24%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-16 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-17 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-17 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-17 00:05