The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Charlotte Hornets v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 23:10 UTC

Final: Charlotte Hornets 105–90 Milwaukee Bucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 58.38%1.71fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.48%58.34%58.27%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.611.6863.69%62.15%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 41.62%2.40fair odd
EV -0.943%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.683%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.66%41.73%43.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.3846.51%43.36%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 58.38%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 41.62%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.943%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -1.92%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -9.27%E -4.25%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-11 22:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-11 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.19%E -0.933%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 22:09
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-11 22:09
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:19
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.23%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.84%E -2.97%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.11%E -2.24%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 19:18
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.84%E -2.97%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-11 19:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 22:00
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.02%E -1.30%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-11 22:43
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-11 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -7.76%E -4.91%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.76%E -4.91%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -5.11%E -2.24%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 22:43
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -7.76%E -4.91%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -10.52%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.943%E -0.396%K -0.683%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-11 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-10-11 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-10-11 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-10-11 22:55