Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets v Brooklyn Nets

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charlotte Hornets (Local)

Prediction 63.24%1.58fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -7.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.17%63.11%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.481.5269.44%67.50%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visit)

Prediction 36.76%2.72fair odd
EV -0.751%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.83%36.89%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.702.7041.67%38.03%37.04%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charlotte Hornets (Local): 63.24%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 36.76%. For Brooklyn Nets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.751%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.87%E -2.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.43%E -1.70%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 04:15
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.78%E -4.91%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-05 08:31
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.77%E -3.87%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 04:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:15
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:20
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.751%E -0.278%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 10:20
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.40%E -4.33%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -7.00%E -2.77%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 08:30
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -3.69%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-05 04:14
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.69%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.31%EV -11.04%E -4.56%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-05 08:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-05 08:00