Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics v Philadelphia 76ers

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 00:10 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 144–106 Philadelphia 76ers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 69.42%1.44fair odd

EV -2.81%

Edge -2.01%

Kelly -7.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.52%69.27%69.54%71.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.91%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia 76ers (Visit)

Prediction 30.58%3.27fair odd

EV +2.45%

Edge +0.730%

Kelly +1.04%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.27%30.73%30.46%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.913.173.203.3534.36%31.58%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 69.42%; Philadelphia 76ers (Visit): 30.58%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -8.37%E -6.34%K -26.15%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +2.45%E +0.730%K +1.04%G +0.025%	5.6%	2026-10-11 00:05
Bovada🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +0.917%E +0.278%K +0.399%G +0.004%	3.8%	2026-10-10 22:50
TABtouch🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:05
Unibet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 22:40
betPARX🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.612%E -0.188%K -0.272%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:04
BetUS🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -1.22%E -0.379%K -0.549%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-10 23:55
Caesars🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -1.53%E -0.475%K -0.689%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-10 22:44
FanDuel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.59%E -4.11%K -15.53%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.14%E -0.669%K -0.973%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-11 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.45%E -0.767%K -1.12%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-11 00:00
SportsBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -6.98%E -5.21%K -20.53%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -2.75%E -0.865%K -1.26%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-11 00:00
DraftKings🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-11 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.76%E -7.50%K -32.52%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -3.67%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-10-11 00:04
ReBet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.90%E -3.57%K -13.23%G +0.000%	3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -3.98%E -1.27%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-10 23:59
Bet Right🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.28%E -4.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.73%E -2.21%K -3.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-11 00:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.20%E -3.04%K -11.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-11 00:05
Fliff🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.37%E -6.34%K -26.15%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.26%E -2.75%K -4.13%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-10-11 00:00
Betsson🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.37%E -6.34%K -26.15%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.79%E -3.32%K -5.02%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-10 23:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.52%EV -2.81%E -2.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.48%EV -11.01%E -3.78%K -5.76%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 23:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%	3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%	1.2%	2026-10-11 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%	1.7%	2026-10-11 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%	3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%	1.7%	2026-10-11 00:00