The School of Odds
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Boston Celtics v Charlotte Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 23:40 UTC

Final: Boston Celtics 114–93 Charlotte Hornets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Boston Celtics (Local)

Prediction 73.22%1.37fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%73.03%73.41%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.291.3580.00%77.16%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.806%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%26.97%26.59%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.603.8533.33%28.36%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Boston Celtics (Local): 73.22%; Charlotte Hornets (Visit): 26.78%. For Charlotte Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +3.10%E +0.806%K +1.09%G +0.034%4.7%2026-10-14 23:35
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.47%E -6.78%K -33.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +3.10%E +0.806%K +1.09%G +0.034%6.0%2026-10-14 23:30
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +0.424%E +0.113%K +0.154%G +0.001%4.2%2026-10-14 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.74%E -6.14%K -29.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -0.915%E -0.247%K -0.339%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:05
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:05
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.25%E -0.618%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 15:04
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:30
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.08%E -3.12%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.59%E -0.998%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-14 23:24
ReBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 23:29
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 23:30
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.62%E -1.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.27%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-14 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -2.62%E -1.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 23:30
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.47%E -6.78%K -33.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.95%E -2.63%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.81%E -3.70%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.29%E -3.07%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-14 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.62%E -1.97%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.30%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 23:30
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.28%E -4.90%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -15.64%E -4.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-14 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.66%E -6.55%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 23:30
picklebet_au🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.15%E -0.854%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.66%E -6.55%K -9.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-10-14 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-10-14 23:35