The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Atlanta Hawks v Memphis Grizzlies

Kickoff: 2026-10-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Hawks (Local)

Prediction 57.30%1.75fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.33%57.37%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.651.7164.52%60.46%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Memphis Grizzlies (Visit)

Prediction 42.70%2.34fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%42.67%42.63%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.252.4047.62%44.91%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Hawks (Local): 57.30%; Memphis Grizzlies (Visit): 42.70%. For Memphis Grizzlies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -11.18%E -7.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +2.47%E +1.03%K +1.76%G +0.044%6.2%2026-10-05 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -7.17%E -4.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.762%E +0.323%K +0.560%G +0.004%4.1%2026-10-05 14:47
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.30%E -2.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.23%E -0.972%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-05 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.02%E -3.67%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.08%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.16%E -1.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:15
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.45%E -3.30%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.93%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:14
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.16%E -1.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.22%E -2.35%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 15:04
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.01%E -1.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-05 15:03
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.16%E -1.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.92%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:00
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.16%E -1.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.20%E -3.82%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.73%E -2.22%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.20%E -3.82%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.02%E -3.67%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.20%E -3.82%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 15:05
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.46%E -5.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.20%E -3.82%K -7.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 14:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -4.30%E -2.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -9.49%E -4.47%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-05 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.30%E -2.58%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.34%E -4.92%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-10-05 15:05