Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 6.87%14.55fair odd
EV +71.82%
Edge +2.87%
Kelly +2.99%
Growth +2.15%

assuming max odds 25.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.92%7.06%6.79%10.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.7514.0414.0025.0011.43%7.12%7.14%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 93.13%1.07fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -21.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.56%92.94%93.21%96.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.031.06100.00%97.37%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 6.87%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 93.13%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.55. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 25.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +71.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +71.82%E +2.87%K +2.99%G +2.15%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-21 19:25
Pinnacle🎯21.97I 4.55%NM 4.44%EV +50.99%E +2.32%K +2.43%G +1.24%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.56%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-21 20:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +23.71%E +1.32%K +1.39%G +0.331%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 20:44
SportsBet🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +16.84%E +0.990%K +1.05%G +0.177%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯16.25I 6.15%NM 5.91%EV +11.68%E +0.719%K +0.766%G +0.089%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.09%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:59
ATG (SE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:59
Svenska Spel🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Fanatics🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 20:59
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV +9.96%E +0.623%K +0.664%G +0.066%1.00I 100.00%NM 94.12%EV -6.87%E -6.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 21:01
Fliff🎯15.10I 6.62%NM 6.33%EV +3.78%E +0.250%K +0.268%G +0.010%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.67%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 21:04
FanDuel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +3.09%E +0.206%K +0.221%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 19:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +3.09%E +0.206%K +0.221%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 20:49
Coolbet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +3.09%E +0.206%K +0.221%G +0.007%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 02:24
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +3.09%E +0.206%K +0.221%G +0.007%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +3.09%E +0.206%K +0.221%G +0.007%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 20:54
LowVig.ag🎯14.83I 6.74%NM 6.49%EV +1.92%E +0.130%K +0.139%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.51%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 16:54
Caesars🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV -0.345%E -0.024%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 02:19
GTbets🎯14.40I 6.94%NM 6.68%EV -1.03%E -0.072%K -0.077%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.32%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯14.36I 6.96%NM 6.69%EV -1.31%E -0.091%K -0.098%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.31%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 16:54
BetAnything🎯14.35I 6.97%NM 6.70%EV -1.38%E -0.096%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.30%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 20:09
Bet Victor🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.15%E -3.03%K -78.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:48
Winamax (DE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.15%E -3.03%K -78.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 20:59
DraftKings🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.15%E -3.03%K -78.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-21 03:55
Unibet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:04
betPARX🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:04
Bally Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:04
BetMGM🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 21:04
BetUS🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 19:29
Codere (IT)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:04
LiveScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:00
Virgin Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:00
TABtouch🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:59
BetRivers🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:04
Bovada🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 13:41
theScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -3.78%E -0.270%K -0.291%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯13.55I 7.38%NM 7.00%EV -6.87%E -0.507%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.00%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 20:58
Unibet (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.15%E -3.03%K -78.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 20:59
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 04:00
William Hill🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 03:10
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:04
Coral🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 21:04
Everygame🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -10.65%E -0.820%K -0.888%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 16:54
TAB🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.15%E -3.03%K -78.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 04:00
ReBet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 21:04
BoyleSports🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -17.53%E -1.46%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -20.96%E -1.82%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 21:00
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -24.40%E -2.22%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -1.29%E -1.21%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 20:54
Sky Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -24.40%E -2.22%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 20:55
Betsson🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -31.27%E -3.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.22%E -2.11%K -44.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:04
NordicBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -31.27%E -3.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -2.22%E -2.11%K -44.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 21:04
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -31.27%E -3.13%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.08%E -3.96%K -135.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 20:59
Betclic (FR)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -39.86%E -4.56%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 89.56%EV -5.01%E -4.91%K -250.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 21:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly28.50I 3.51%NM 3.52%1.04I 96.15%NM 96.48%-0.3%2026-03-21 21:00
Novig22.73I 4.40%NM 4.38%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.62%0.6%2026-03-21 21:04
ProphetX22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-03-21 21:04
Matchbook22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%0.7%2026-03-21 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 20:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 20:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%0.9%2026-03-21 20:44
Kalshi25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%1.1%2026-03-21 19:35
Polymarket20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%1.2%2026-03-21 18:10
Smarkets20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%3.0%2026-03-21 21:04