The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Washington Wizards v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 23:15 UTC

Final: Washington Wizards 128–116 Milwaukee Bucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%60.58%60.53%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6367.11%63.76%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV -0.173%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.113%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.42%39.47%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.422.422.5345.05%41.32%41.32%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 60.54%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 39.46%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.534. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.530, with an expected value of -0.173%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.32%E -0.807%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-21 23:00
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-21 22:58
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.53%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-21 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.51%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-21 23:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 22:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 23:00
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 23:00
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-21 22:47
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -2.94%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-21 21:50
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-21 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.12%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.962%E -0.383%K -0.637%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-21 22:55
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-21 22:45
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 21:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 21:54
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 22:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -8.06%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -8.06%E -3.46%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 23:05
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 23:09
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 21:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 22:54
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:09
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 23:05
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 23:05
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.49%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 23:05
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -6.49%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 23:05
picklebet_au🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.25%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.173%E -0.068%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-21 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 21:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -2.15%E -0.865%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-21 23:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.25%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -0.173%E -0.068%K -0.113%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-21 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -4.12%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.25%E -4.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 23:05
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -4.12%E -1.69%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 23:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.543%K -0.905%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 21:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.49%E -2.74%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-21 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.42%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -4.51%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 23:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.98%E -5.25%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-21 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -8.58%E -5.68%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -12.40%E -5.59%K -10.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-21 23:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.79%E -6.57%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-21 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-10-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-10-21 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-10-21 23:10
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-10-21 23:09
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-21 23:10
ProphetX◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-10-21 23:10
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-21 21:55
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-21 21:45
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-10-21 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%4.2%2026-10-21 22:59