Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.64
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 27.71%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 72.29%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.848%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.91%EV +0.848%E +0.233%K +0.321%G +0.003% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.09%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV -0.261%E -0.072%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.261%E -0.072%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.261%E -0.072%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -0.261%E -0.072%K -0.100%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.46%E -5.83%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -1.37%E -0.384%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-16 19:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.65%E -0.464%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.65%E -0.464%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 12:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 23:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 19:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 20:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.03%E -0.866%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.80%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.20%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -3.59%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -4.14%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-16 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.29%E -4.04%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-16 09:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-16 20:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.74%E -5.22%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-16 23:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.80%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.46%E -5.83%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 22:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.57%E -3.46%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.13%E -2.33%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-16 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 22:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 23:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.85%E -2.89%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.96%E -3.06%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.63%K -20.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.06%EV -10.51%E -3.25%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.94%EV -8.91%E -7.07%K -34.26%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.82I 26.18%NM 26.11% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89% | 0.3% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-16 22:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51% | 2.2% | 2026-03-16 23:10 |