Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prediction 12.40%8.07fair odd
EV +11.59%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.168%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.59%12.13%15.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.907.507.509.0016.95%13.34%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 87.60%1.14fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -15.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.41%87.41%87.87%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.091.091.1295.24%91.44%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 12.40%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 87.60%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.07. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +11.59%E +1.29%K +1.45%G +0.168%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.14%E -6.74%K -119.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯8.81I 11.35%NM 11.01%EV +9.24%E +1.05%K +1.18%G +0.109%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.99%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 20:40
Pinnacle🎯8.74I 11.44%NM 11.09%EV +8.37%E +0.957%K +1.08%G +0.090%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.91%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV +5.89%E +0.689%K +0.781%G +0.046%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 20:40
DraftKings🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.39%E +0.634%K +0.719%G +0.039%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:50
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.39%E +0.634%K +0.719%G +0.039%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 20:39
theScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.39%E +0.634%K +0.719%G +0.039%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.27%E -5.86%K -89.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Tipico (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.39%E +0.634%K +0.719%G +0.039%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.14%E -6.74%K -119.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 21:30
Neds🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.29%E +0.278%K +0.316%G +0.007%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.29%E +0.278%K +0.316%G +0.007%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:04
BetMGM🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV +2.29%E +0.278%K +0.316%G +0.007%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 22:15
GTbets🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%EV +1.67%E +0.204%K +0.232%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 20:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +0.432%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:50
ReBet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +0.432%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 21:29
Fliff🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV +0.432%E +0.053%K +0.061%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:04
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:24
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:35
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:43
BetAnything🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:39
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:47
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:39
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.27%E -5.86%K -89.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.27%E -5.86%K -89.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 22:14
NetBet (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -0.808%E -0.101%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.02%E -7.64%K -160.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:59
1xBet🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.56%EV -3.29%E -0.421%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.44%EV -1.89%E -1.68%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -3.29%E -0.421%K -0.483%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 21:30
MyBookie.ag🎯7.72I 12.95%NM 12.37%EV -4.28%E -0.554%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.63%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 21:29
FanDuel🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -5.77%E -0.759%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 22:35
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.01%EV -1.89%E -1.68%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 23:03
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 22:59
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:34
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 20:54
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 20:54
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -7.01%E -0.934%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.39%E -4.99%K -67.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.78%EV -9.49%E -1.30%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.22%EV -6.27%E -5.86%K -89.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 18:23
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 23:04
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.21%E -1.89%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:44
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -1.89%E -1.68%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 23:05
BetRivers🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:54
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:39
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:50
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:39
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -16.31%E -2.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:40
NordicBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -1.89%E -1.68%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 23:05
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.76%E -2.49%K -25.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:34
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 22:04
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.64%E -3.31%K -36.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -19.41%E -2.99%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 23:00
LeoVegas🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -20.65%E -3.23%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV -26.85%E -4.55%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.41%EV -4.51%E -4.14%K -50.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 23:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly10.36I 9.65%NM 9.68%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.32%-0.3%2026-03-19 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-03-19 22:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-03-19 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-03-19 23:04
ProphetX9.50I 10.53%NM 10.46%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.54%0.6%2026-03-19 23:05
Matchbook9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%0.7%2026-03-19 23:05
Novig9.26I 10.80%NM 10.70%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.30%0.9%2026-03-19 23:00
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-03-19 16:25
Polymarket9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.12%1.1%2026-03-19 22:54
Smarkets9.40I 10.64%NM 10.39%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.61%2.4%2026-03-19 23:05