The School of Odds
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Utah Jazz v New Orleans Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 01:43 UTC

Final: Utah Jazz 120–119 New Orleans Pelicans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Prediction 51.32%1.95fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.74%51.39%51.08%52.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.861.871.9358.82%53.76%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 48.68%2.05fair odd
EV -0.199%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.189%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.29%48.61%48.92%50.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.942.0554.64%51.53%51.55%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 51.32%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 48.68%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.054. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.050, with an expected value of -0.199%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.959%E -0.497%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-24 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -0.959%E -0.497%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.959%E -0.497%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -0.959%E -0.497%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 01:35
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.47%E -0.767%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 19:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -1.47%E -0.767%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:30
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 01:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.50%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:05
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.50%E -1.32%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 01:30
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 01:30
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:35
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:35
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.01%E -1.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 01:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 01:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.53%E -3.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 22:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -3.52%E -1.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 15:55
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 22:25
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 15:40
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:45
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 22:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.55%E -2.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 01:35
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.55%E -2.86%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 01:35
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 01:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.04%E -2.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 01:35
Coolbet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.55%E -2.45%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.199%E -0.097%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 01:34
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -0.199%E -0.097%K -0.189%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 01:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 01:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.06%E -2.74%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.58%E -3.03%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 01:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -0.686%E -0.336%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 01:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 01:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 00:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 00:10
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.09%E -3.33%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 01:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.60%E -3.63%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.50%E -3.95%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.04%E -3.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -7.12%E -3.93%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.91%E -5.96%K -13.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 01:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:55
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 15:55
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.63%E -4.24%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -8.66%E -4.86%K -11.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -4.58%E -2.34%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.20%E -5.83%K -13.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.07%E -2.60%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.50%EV -12.25%E -7.16%K -17.25%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.50%EV -7.99%E -4.23%K -8.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.11%EV -12.76%E -7.51%K -18.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.94%E -5.37%K -11.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-10-24 01:35
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-10-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-10-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-10-24 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-24 01:35
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00%1.0%2026-10-24 01:35
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-24 01:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-24 01:35
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-24 01:35
BetOpenly◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%3.6%2026-10-24 01:29