默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Utah Jazz v Miami Heat

2026-11-11 02:10 UTC — NBA

胜负盘

68 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

25%

75%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Utah Jazz (主队)

预测 25.28%3.96公平赔率

EV +1.12%

优势 +0.280%

Kelly +0.373%

增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布

23.81%25.35%25.34%27.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.353.713.754.0029.85%26.93%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Heat (客队)

预测 74.72%1.34公平赔率

EV -0.622%

优势 -0.468%

Kelly -1.89%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布

72.23%74.65%74.66%76.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.49%78.13%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Utah Jazz (主队)：25.28%；Miami Heat (客队)：74.72%。对于“Utah Jazz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.96。有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.00，由此产生+1.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (68 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-10 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-10 14:25
Everygame🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-10 14:23
William Hill🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 09:35
888sport🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 09:34
ReBet🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.144%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.144%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 14:25
1xBet🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 14:30
theScore Bet🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-10 14:30
DraftKings🎯	3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.42%E -0.627%K -0.846%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-10 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-10 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 14:24
Fliff🎯	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 16:54
BetMGM🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 17:25
GTbets🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 15:15
BetAnything🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 15:15
BetUS🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-10 15:14
SportsBet🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-10 17:25
PlayUp🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 14:44
betfred_uk🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-10 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-10 14:25
Bet Victor🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-10 14:24
betano_uk🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-10 07:15
Pinnacle🎯	3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.19%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-10 16:45
FanDuel🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 17:25
Fanatics🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 14:29
Bovada🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-10 15:13
picklebet_au🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-10 14:25
BoyleSports🎯	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯	3.73I 26.81%NM 24.65%EV -5.71%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 75.35%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-10 14:25
TAB🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-10 14:25
Caesars🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-10 16:24
Coral🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-10 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-10 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 14:24
Neds🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-10 14:19
Bet Right🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-10 14:39
NordicBet🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 14:20
Betsson🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-10 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-10 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
BetRivers🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
TABtouch🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:19
Unibet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:19
Bally Bet🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:18
ATG (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:19
betPARX🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-10 16:20
Paddy Power🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-10 14:10
Sky Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-10 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-10 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-11-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -10.34%E -8.61%K -51.68%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-11-10 14:20
Coolbet🎯	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -12.53%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -0.622%E -0.468%K -1.89%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-10 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.35%E -5.93%K -30.61%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-10 16:20
LeoVegas🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.31%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%	1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-11-10 14:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%	1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%	0.2%	2026-11-10 16:35
Novig◎	3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%	0.7%	2026-11-10 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	0.8%	2026-11-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	0.8%	2026-11-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	0.8%	2026-11-10 17:20
ProphetX◎	3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%	1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%	1.1%	2026-11-10 17:50
Polymarket◎	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%	1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%	1.2%	2026-11-10 16:25
Matchbook◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%	1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%	2.0%	2026-11-10 17:50
Smarkets◎	3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%	1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%	2.6%	2026-11-10 17:55
BetOpenly◎	4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%	1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%	3.1%	2026-11-10 17:39

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