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Utah Jazz v Miami Heat

2026-11-11 02:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

68 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.280%
Kelly +0.373%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.35%25.34%27.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.713.754.0029.85%26.93%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 74.72%1.34momio equitativo
EV -0.622%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.23%74.65%74.66%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.281.3383.33%78.49%78.13%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Utah Jazz (Local): 25.28%; Miami Heat (Visitante): 74.72%. Para Utah Jazz (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.96. 7 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.12%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (68 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-10 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-10 14:25
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 14:23
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 09:35
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 09:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 09:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.12%E +0.280%K +0.373%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 09:34
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -0.144%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -0.144%E -0.037%K -0.049%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 14:25
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 14:30
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.41%E -0.361%K -0.486%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.85%E -4.65%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 24.90%EV -2.42%E -0.627%K -0.846%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.10%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-10 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-10 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 14:24
Fliff🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.67%E -0.694%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 16:54
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 17:25
GTbets🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 15:15
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 15:15
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-10 15:14
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 17:25
PlayUp🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.11%E -4.02%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 14:44
betfred_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:25
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:24
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-10 07:15
Pinnacle🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.19%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-10 16:45
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 17:25
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 14:29
Marathon Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 14:29
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 15:13
picklebet_au🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 14:25
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.20%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 24.65%EV -5.71%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.35%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-10 14:25
TAB🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-10 14:25
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-10 16:24
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.46%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 14:24
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-10 14:19
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 14:39
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 14:20
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-10 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -8.99%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-10 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:19
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:19
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:18
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:19
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -2.86%E -2.20%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.26%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-10 16:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-10 14:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-10 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.61%E -2.80%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-10 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.36%E -3.40%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.84%E -7.25%K -40.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-10 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.52%E -3.29%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.47%EV -10.34%E -8.61%K -51.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-10 14:20
Coolbet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.77%EV -12.53%E -3.62%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.23%EV -0.622%E -0.468%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-10 17:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -14.05%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -7.35%E -5.93%K -30.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-10 16:20
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -15.31%E -4.57%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -6.60%E -5.28%K -26.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-10 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%0.2%2026-11-10 16:35
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 25.33%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.67%0.7%2026-11-10 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-11-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-11-10 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-11-10 17:20
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-11-10 17:50
Polymarket◎3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-11-10 16:25
Matchbook◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-11-10 17:50
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%2.6%2026-11-10 17:55
BetOpenly◎4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%3.1%2026-11-10 17:39

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