Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Raptors (Local): 76.98%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 23.02%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +1.29%E +0.294%K +0.380%G +0.005% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.29%E +0.294%K +0.380%G +0.005% | 3.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.80%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.20%EV +0.832%E +0.190%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.32%E -4.32%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.141%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.01%E -0.235%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.16%E -0.508%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.16%E -0.508%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -2.24%E -1.76%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV -2.39%E -0.564%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-08 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.32%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.32%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.32%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.32%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.31%E -0.789%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -4.46%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.46%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -4.46%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.46%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 21:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.86%E -5.67%K -32.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.61%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -6.77%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.92%E -1.98%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 21:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.07%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.07%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.63%E -6.35%K -38.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.22%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.78%E -3.02%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.67%E -3.65%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 21:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.80% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 21.20% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 21:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.78% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 22.22% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |