Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors v Cleveland Cavaliers

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 17:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prediction 41.28%2.42fair odd
EV -0.928%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.663%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%41.36%41.25%43.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.282.292.4048.78%43.93%43.57%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)

Prediction 58.72%1.70fair odd
EV -0.176%
Edge -0.103%
Kelly -0.251%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.62%58.64%58.75%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.641.631.7065.79%61.13%61.54%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Raptors (Local): 41.28%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 58.72%. For Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.703. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.700, with an expected value of -0.176%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.928%E -0.387%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:04
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.928%E -0.387%K -0.663%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-24 03:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:10
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:24
SportsBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:04
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.29%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:05
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.29%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 03:15
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:15
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:24
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.41%E -1.46%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.52%E -1.52%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.94%E -1.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-24 02:52
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:05
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.46%E -3.39%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.06%E -2.20%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.47%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.29%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.47%E -2.39%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.29%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.88%E -2.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.29%E -2.63%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.29%E -2.77%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:15
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:45
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 02:45
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 02:35
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.87%E -3.01%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.12%E -3.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:09
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -7.53%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.11%E -1.89%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -7.53%E -3.36%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -0.176%E -0.103%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 02:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -0.176%E -0.103%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 02:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -0.176%E -0.103%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 02:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -7.95%E -3.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -0.176%E -0.103%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-24 02:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:35
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:35
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:35
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.35%E -0.804%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.18%E -4.17%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -10.01%E -4.59%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -1.94%E -1.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -11.25%E -5.23%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -3.70%E -2.26%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 02:35
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -13.31%E -6.34%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -6.05%E -3.78%K -10.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.58%EV -15.38%E -7.50%K -14.64%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.42%EV -10.75%E -7.07%K -20.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-24 02:50
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.82%8.8%2026-04-24 03:30