Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Sacramento Kings

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 90.90%1.10fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -39.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.72%90.65%90.79%91.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.03%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sacramento Kings (Visit)

Prediction 9.10%10.99fair odd
EV +8.10%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 11.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.19%9.35%9.21%12.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.5010.0410.0011.8813.33%9.96%10.00%8.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 90.90%; Sacramento Kings (Visit): 9.10%. For Sacramento Kings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.99. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.81%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%11.88I 8.42%NM 8.19%EV +8.10%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.060%2.8%2026-02-22 01:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +4.64%E +0.403%K +0.442%G +0.020%3.0%2026-02-22 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +4.64%E +0.403%K +0.442%G +0.020%3.0%2026-02-22 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +4.64%E +0.403%K +0.442%G +0.020%3.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +4.64%E +0.403%K +0.442%G +0.020%3.9%2026-02-22 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.40I 8.77%NM 8.43%EV +3.73%E +0.327%K +0.359%G +0.013%4.0%2026-02-22 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV +2.36%E +0.210%K +0.231%G +0.005%4.1%2026-02-22 00:59
PlayUp🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-22 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 01:10
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 01:10
William Hill🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.37%E -6.19%K -212.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.19%E -8.11%K -819.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV +0.089%E +0.008%K +0.009%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 00:59
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -1.73%E -0.160%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -2.74%E -2.56%K -39.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 01:10
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 01:09
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.46%E -0.425%K -0.469%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -6.73%E -0.657%K -0.728%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -8.10%E -0.802%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -2.74%E -2.56%K -39.09%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 00:59
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 01:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:09
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-22 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.01%E -0.901%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.46%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.96I 10.04%NM 9.54%EV -9.37%E -0.941%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 01:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -11.28%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -11.28%E -1.16%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -11.74%E -1.21%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:07
Everygame🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:08
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 01:10
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -13.56%E -1.43%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 00:59
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.74%E -2.56%K -39.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.74%E -2.56%K -39.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 01:10
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.46%E -5.25%K -136.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 01:10
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.37%E -6.19%K -212.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -18.11%E -2.01%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.64%E -3.44%K -60.75%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -22.66%E -2.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -22.66%E -2.67%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -4.55%E -4.34%K -91.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -31.76%E -4.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-22 01:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.32%14.94I 6.69%NM 6.68%0.2%2026-02-22 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Polymarket1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-02-22 01:10
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-02-22 01:10
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.68%11.90I 8.40%NM 8.32%1.0%2026-02-22 01:10
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-02-22 01:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 91.81%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.19%1.8%2026-02-22 01:10