La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Philadelphia 76ers

Inicio: 2026-04-07 00:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 75.39%1.33momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -6.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%75.38%75.29%76.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3081.97%79.02%78.74%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia 76ers (Visitante)

Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV +0.891%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.287%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.62%24.71%26.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.863.864.1028.57%25.91%25.91%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.891%E +0.217%K +0.287%G +0.003%4.4%2026-04-07 00:09
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -1.32%E -0.330%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-07 00:10
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:09
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:09
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 00:08
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 23:59
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 23:59
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.57%E -0.393%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 23:59
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -2.31%E -0.581%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -2.55%E -0.645%K -0.863%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 00:10
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 00:10
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-06 23:59
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 00:10
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -2.80%E -0.709%K -0.949%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 00:10
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:10
GTbets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:10
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:10
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:09
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 00:09
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 00:09
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 75.10%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.90%EV -4.28%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 00:00
Codere (IT)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 00:00
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.26%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 00:09
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:09
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:06
theScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 23:58
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 00:09
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.27%E -5.91%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-07 00:00
Dabble (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 00:09
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.25%E -3.35%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 00:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.01%E -3.97%K -19.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 00:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.76%E -4.61%K -23.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.50%E -2.73%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 00:10
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.51%E -5.25%K -27.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.10%EV -8.02%E -6.57%K -36.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -9.44%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 00:10
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.68%EV -1.99%E -1.53%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -10.43%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 23:59
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.02%E -6.57%K -36.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.74%E -2.13%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.87%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-07 00:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56%-0.1%2026-04-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-07 00:10
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 76.80%4.27I 23.42%NM 23.20%0.9%2026-04-07 00:10
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.70%4.05I 24.69%NM 24.30%1.6%2026-04-07 00:10
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-04-07 00:10
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%3.2%2026-04-07 00:10