Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs v Oklahoma City Thunder

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 00:15 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 103–82 Oklahoma City Thunder

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 56.86%1.76fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%56.96%56.82%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7262.50%59.73%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)

Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.584%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%43.04%43.18%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.202.3547.62%45.21%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 56.86%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 43.14%. For Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.37%E +0.584%K +1.02%G +0.014%3.2%2026-05-25 00:09
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.784%E -0.341%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.08%E -0.916%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:09
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.20%E -1.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 00:10
theScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -2.20%E -1.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 00:09
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 00:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 23:58
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:10
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:10
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:10
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:10
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:10
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 00:10
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.37%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 00:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 00:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 00:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.80%E -1.71%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -2.20%E -1.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 00:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 00:09
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:09
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:09
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 23:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 00:10
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 00:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.18%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.75%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 00:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.73%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 00:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.88%E -4.87%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.39%E -2.95%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.75%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -6.82%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 00:09
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.25%E -3.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.87%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 00:08
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 00:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-24 23:59
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-05-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-25 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-25 00:10
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-05-25 00:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-25 00:10
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-25 00:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-05-25 00:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-05-25 00:10