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San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Antonio Spurs (Local)
assuming max odds 1.20
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 79.31%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 20.69%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.690%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.690%E -0.144%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.690%E -0.144%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.690%E -0.144%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 02:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.690%E -0.144%K -0.181%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.83%E -4.02%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.62%E -4.72%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.83%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.41%E -5.44%K -35.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.90%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.09%EV -8.79%E -7.65%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.91%EV -10.00%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-11 02:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 03:09 |