Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.10
assuming max odds 11.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 90.10%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 9.90%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.10. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.89%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.42%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.58%EV +12.89%E +1.13%K +1.24%G +0.160% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV +8.93%E +0.812%K +0.893%G +0.080% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 23:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.86%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.64I 9.40%NM 9.14%EV +5.37%E +0.504%K +0.557%G +0.030% | 2.9% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +3.98%E +0.379%K +0.419%G +0.017% | 3.9% | 2026-03-22 00:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +1.01%E +0.099%K +0.110%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.62%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 10.14I 9.86%NM 9.38%EV +0.415%E +0.041%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +0.018%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.38%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.05I 9.95%NM 9.62%EV -0.477%E -0.047%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:22 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.972%E -0.097%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -2.95%E -0.301%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -3.45%E -0.354%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.19%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.81%EV -3.45%E -0.354%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -3.55%E -0.364%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.02%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.98%EV -4.44%E -0.460%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -4.93%E -0.514%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.20%E -6.99%K -240.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -5.92%E -0.623%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.79%EV -6.30%E -6.06%K -157.47%G +0.000% | 9.15I 10.93%NM 10.21%EV -9.39%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 00:02 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV -9.88%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 23:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.50%E -4.24%K -74.95%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.40%E -5.14%K -107.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.87%E -1.21%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -2.70%E -2.50%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -13.35%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -13.35%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-22 00:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.70%E -2.50%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -15.83%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -2.70%E -2.50%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -15.83%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.83%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -15.83%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.30%E -6.06%K -157.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -15.83%E -1.86%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.70%E -2.50%K -33.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -20.78%E -2.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.78%E -2.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.60%E -3.36%K -51.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.78%E -2.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.30%E -6.06%K -157.47%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -25.73%E -3.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-22 00:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -0.893%E -0.812%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -30.68%E -4.38%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 00:03 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.81% | 10.87I 9.20%NM 9.19% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.68% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.32% | 0.3% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.25% | 12.85I 7.78%NM 7.75% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.34% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.66% | 0.4% | 2026-03-22 00:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 23:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25% | 3.0% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |