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San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors

2026-11-14 02:40 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prediction 80.46%1.24fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -3.57%
Kelly -22.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.46%80.46%80.46%80.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.191.191.1984.03%84.03%84.03%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Warriors (Visit)

Prediction 19.54%5.12fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.54%19.54%19.54%19.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.904.904.904.9020.41%20.41%20.41%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 80.46%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 19.54%. For San Antonio Spurs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.24. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.19, with an expected value of -4.25%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.25%E -3.57%K -22.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -4.25%E -0.868%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-12 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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