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San Antonio Spurs v Dallas Mavericks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Antonio Spurs (Local)
Prediction 91.79%1.09fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -25.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.29%91.64%91.95%93.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.67%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Mavericks (Visit)
Prediction 8.21%12.18fair odd
EV +31.40%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.657%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.05%8.36%8.05%10.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.2111.5016.0011.76%8.92%8.70%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 91.79%; Dallas Mavericks (Visit): 8.21%. For Dallas Mavericks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.18. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%EV +31.40%E +1.96%K +2.09%G +0.657% | 3.3% | 2026-04-10 23:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +12.51%E +0.914%K +0.985%G +0.123% | 2.5% | 2026-04-10 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 2.9% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 3.8% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 4.8% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.38%E -6.25%K -318.85%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +6.77%E +0.520%K +0.564%G +0.038% | 5.7% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +3.48%E +0.276%K +0.300%G +0.010% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.29%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.71%EV +3.15%E +0.251%K +0.273%G +0.009% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +2.66%E +0.213%K +0.231%G +0.006% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 23:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 22:27 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.38%E -6.25%K -318.85%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.29%E -7.22%K -729.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -1.45%E -0.121%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.90%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.92I 8.39%NM 8.10%EV -2.10%E -0.176%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV -3.50%E -0.298%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 23:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV -4.73%E -0.408%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.55%E -0.483%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 23:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.55%E -0.483%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.55%E -0.483%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 15:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.55%E -0.483%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -5.55%E -0.483%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -6.29%E -0.551%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 22:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.46%E -5.30%K -181.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.66%E -0.878%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -13.77%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -6.38%E -6.25%K -318.85%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -13.77%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.79%E -1.67%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.79%E -1.67%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.79%E -1.67%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.79%E -1.67%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -1.79%E -1.67%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -17.87%E -1.79%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 00:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.93%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -19.93%E -2.04%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.98%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.98%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -21.98%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -21.98%E -2.31%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -2.71%E -2.55%K -45.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.62%E -3.45%K -72.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 22:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.54%E -4.37%K -113.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -26.09%E -2.90%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -6.38%E -6.25%K -318.85%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -30.19%E -3.55%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-10 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.72% | 15.98I 6.26%NM 6.28% | -0.3% | 2026-04-10 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.12% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.88% | 0.4% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.84% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.16% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.24% | 14.49I 6.90%NM 6.76% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 00:10 |