Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 02:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.32%58.09%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.641.7063.69%61.05%60.98%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd
EV -0.159%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.114%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.68%41.91%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.282.292.3946.08%43.94%43.76%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 58.23%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 41.77%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.394. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.390, with an expected value of -0.159%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.02%E -0.598%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-11 02:07
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.25%E -0.961%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-11 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 01:59
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:08
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 02:10
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.34%E -1.89%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 02:09
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.76%E -1.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 01:57
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 02:10
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.75%E -2.09%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 02:10
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.35%E -2.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 02:09
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.25%E -0.961%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.09%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.59%E -2.47%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 02:02
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.93%E -2.38%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 02:08
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.93%E -4.10%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.93%E -4.10%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.93%E -4.10%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 02:10
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.35%E -4.31%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -5.09%E -3.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -9.35%E -4.31%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -0.995%E -0.420%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.41%E -0.598%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 02:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:09
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.08%E -1.33%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 02:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 02:09
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 01:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.01%E -2.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.43%E -2.87%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 02:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.83%E -0.779%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.26%E -3.89%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.84%E -3.07%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 02:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -0.159%E -0.067%K -0.114%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.92%E -1.70%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.10%E -3.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-11 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -8.00%E -5.07%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -8.93%E -4.10%K -7.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 02:08
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.577%E -0.242%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 02:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.11%EV -8.59%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.89%EV -5.17%E -2.28%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-11 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-11 02:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.09%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.91%0.7%2026-03-11 01:59
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-03-11 02:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 02:10
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-11 02:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-03-11 02:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-03-11 02:10