Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 1.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 37.54%; Chicago Bulls (Visit): 62.46%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV +1.35%E +0.501%K +0.796%G +0.011% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.35%E +0.501%K +0.796%G +0.011% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.35%E +0.501%K +0.796%G +0.011% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.35%E +0.501%K +0.796%G +0.011% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.81%E -6.03%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -0.149%E -0.056%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.524%E -0.198%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.65%E -0.630%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 01:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.56%E -5.11%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.40%E -0.923%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.18%E -5.57%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.15%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.28%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -8.18%E -5.57%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.78%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 01:07 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.91%E -2.78%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -6.91%E -2.78%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -8.03%E -3.28%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.61%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.61%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -8.78%E -3.61%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -9.53%E -3.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -4.43%E -2.90%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 01:07 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -0.061%E -0.038%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.91%E -4.13%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -1.31%E -0.829%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.66%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.93%E -1.23%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -11.79%E -5.02%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -12.54%E -5.38%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -3.18%E -2.05%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -12.54%E -5.38%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -3.81%E -2.47%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.16%EV -12.54%E -5.38%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -6.31%E -4.20%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 01:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.28%EV -19.29%E -8.97%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.72%EV -9.43%E -6.50%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 01:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.0% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05% | 8.8% | 2026-03-09 00:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 28.53% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 71.47% | 30.8% | 2026-03-09 01:10 |