Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings v Charlotte Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 02:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento Kings (Local)

Prediction 13.47%7.42fair odd
EV +7.75%
Edge +0.969%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%13.71%13.36%17.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.977.008.0018.52%14.35%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 86.53%1.16fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -17.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.95%86.29%86.64%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.111.1394.34%90.58%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento Kings (Local): 13.47%; Charlotte Hornets (Visit): 86.53%. For Sacramento Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.42. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.75%E +0.969%K +1.11%G +0.086%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:09
SportsBet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.75%E +0.969%K +1.11%G +0.086%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:10
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +7.75%E +0.969%K +1.11%G +0.086%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:09
theScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +7.75%E +0.969%K +1.11%G +0.086%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 02:09
Pinnacle🎯7.53I 13.28%NM 12.85%EV +1.42%E +0.188%K +0.217%G +0.003%1.11I 90.09%NM 87.15%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:00
DraftKings🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:09
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 02:09
ReBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 02:09
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV +1.01%E +0.135%K +0.156%G +0.002%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -8.28%E -7.81%K -137.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 02:01
Fliff🎯7.45I 13.42%NM 12.87%EV +0.341%E +0.046%K +0.053%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.13%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 02:09
GTbets🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV -0.332%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯7.31I 13.68%NM 13.18%EV -1.54%E -0.211%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.82%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 02:09
Everygame🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.28%EV -2.35%E -0.324%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.72%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 02:09
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -2.35%E -0.324%K -0.376%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 02:09
Coolbet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -3.03%E -0.420%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 02:08
Codere (IT)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.03%E -0.420%K -0.488%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 02:04
BetOnline.ag🎯7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -3.97%E -0.557%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯7.02I 14.25%NM 13.55%EV -5.45%E -0.776%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 02:02
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 02:05
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:09
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 02:09
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 02:09
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.72%E -0.817%K -0.953%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯6.85I 14.60%NM 13.62%EV -7.74%E -1.13%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.38%EV -6.55%E -6.06%K -81.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 02:07
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 02:09
Bet Right🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:10
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:10
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:09
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:09
Bally Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.09%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -11.11%E -1.68%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 02:00
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:09
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 02:09
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -12.45%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.82%E -4.38%K -48.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 02:09
LeoVegas🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -13.80%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -5.68%E -5.21%K -63.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 02:09
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -15.82%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.22%E -1.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.82%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -15.82%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 02:09
Tipico (DE)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -16.49%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 02:09
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -19.19%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.22%E -1.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 02:09
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -19.19%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -2.22%E -1.96%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 02:09
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -19.19%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.08%E -2.75%K -25.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -27.27%E -5.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -3.95%E -3.56%K -35.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 02:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly8.86I 11.29%NM 11.40%1.14I 87.72%NM 88.60%-1.0%2026-03-12 01:59
ProphetX8.10I 12.35%NM 12.34%1.14I 87.72%NM 87.66%0.1%2026-03-12 02:10
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-03-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-03-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-03-12 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%0.7%2026-03-12 02:09
Novig8.06I 12.41%NM 12.30%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.70%0.9%2026-03-12 02:09
Polymarket8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-03-12 02:09
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%1.3%2026-03-12 02:09
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-03-12 02:09