Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Trail Blazers v Indiana Pacers

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Trail Blazers (Local)

Prediction 77.34%1.29fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.782%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.80%77.20%77.28%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.231.2884.03%81.21%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Pacers (Visit)

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.559%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%22.80%22.72%25.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.224.214.5026.67%23.71%23.75%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Trail Blazers (Local): 77.34%; Indiana Pacers (Visit): 22.66%. For Indiana Pacers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.5%2026-03-09 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.5%2026-03-09 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.5%2026-03-09 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%3.5%2026-03-09 01:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.96%E +0.435%K +0.559%G +0.011%5.6%2026-03-09 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -0.308%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-09 01:09
Everygame🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -0.308%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 01:09
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -0.308%E -0.070%K -0.091%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:09
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-09 01:09
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 01:09
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:10
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:10
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -1.67%E -0.384%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 01:07
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 01:10
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 01:09
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 01:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -6.42%E -5.30%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.780%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 01:10
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.71%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 01:09
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -7.96%E -6.69%K -41.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -3.71%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 01:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:09
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:10
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:09
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 01:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 01:00
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 01:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.96%E -6.69%K -41.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-09 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 01:10
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 01:09
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 01:09
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 01:09
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:09
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:09
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:10
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -10.50%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 01:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.64%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-09 01:08
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -1.00%E -0.782%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 01:07
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.32%E -2.66%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -15.04%E -4.01%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-09 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-09 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-09 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-03-09 01:10
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 79.27%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.73%0.9%2026-03-09 00:59
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-03-09 01:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.39%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.61%1.2%2026-03-09 01:09
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-09 01:10
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-09 01:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%2.7%2026-03-09 01:10