Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns v Utah Jazz

Início: 2026-03-29 02:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Previsão 88.84%1.13odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -2.91%
Kelly -35.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.10%88.52%88.89%91.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.44%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Previsão 11.16%8.96odd justa
EV +22.79%
Vantagem +2.07%
Kelly +2.28%
Crescimento +0.519%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.71%11.48%11.11%15.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.508.418.5011.0018.18%11.89%11.76%9.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Phoenix Suns (Local): 88.84%; Utah Jazz (Visitante): 11.16%. Para Utah Jazz (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.96. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +22.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +22.79%E +2.07%K +2.28%G +0.519%4.3%2026-03-28 02:40
1xBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%EV -3.17%E -2.91%K -35.19%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%EV +7.16%E +0.746%K +0.833%G +0.060%2.2%2026-03-28 03:10
SportsBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +6.05%E +0.636%K +0.711%G +0.043%4.0%2026-03-28 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +6.05%E +0.636%K +0.711%G +0.043%4.0%2026-03-28 00:20
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +3.25%E +0.352%K +0.394%G +0.013%4.3%2026-03-28 00:35
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +1.58%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%4.4%2026-03-28 00:10
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV +1.02%E +0.113%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-28 02:45
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Neds🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:05
DraftKings🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:05
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV -0.094%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:05
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.88%E -0.332%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.01%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.67I 11.53%NM 10.99%EV -3.22%E -0.371%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:55
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Bet Right🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -7.35%E -0.886%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:05
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 02:57
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -12.93%E -1.66%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -12.93%E -1.66%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 02:05
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.17%E -2.91%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -13.49%E -1.74%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:10
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 02:08
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.61%E -7.32%K -190.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -26.33%E -3.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 84.10%EV -7.61%E -7.32%K -190.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.90%EV -38.61%E -7.02%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-28 00:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-28 02:00
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-28 00:09
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%4.2%2026-03-28 03:10