La escuela de los momios

Phoenix Suns v Utah Jazz

Inicio: 2026-03-29 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 88.84%1.13momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -35.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.10%88.52%88.89%91.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.44%93.46%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Predicción 11.16%8.96momio equitativo
EV +22.79%
Ventaja +2.07%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.519%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.71%11.48%11.11%15.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.508.418.5011.0018.18%11.89%11.76%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +22.79%E +2.07%K +2.28%G +0.519%4.3%2026-03-28 02:40
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%EV -3.17%E -2.91%K -35.19%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%EV +7.16%E +0.746%K +0.833%G +0.060%2.2%2026-03-28 03:10
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +6.05%E +0.636%K +0.711%G +0.043%4.0%2026-03-28 00:10
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +6.05%E +0.636%K +0.711%G +0.043%4.0%2026-03-28 00:20
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +3.25%E +0.352%K +0.394%G +0.013%4.3%2026-03-28 00:35
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +1.58%E +0.174%K +0.195%G +0.003%4.4%2026-03-28 00:10
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 89.34%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.66%EV +1.02%E +0.113%K +0.127%G +0.001%3.6%2026-03-28 02:45
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-28 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:05
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:30
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 00:29
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:15
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:05
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +0.464%E +0.052%K +0.058%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-28 00:24
Fliff1.07I 93.46%NM 89.32%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.68%EV -0.094%E -0.011%K -0.012%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:05
ReBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -2.88%E -0.332%K -0.375%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:05
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.01%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.67I 11.53%NM 10.99%EV -3.22%E -0.371%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:55
TAB1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 00:40
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.12%E -0.602%K -0.682%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-28 00:35
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -7.35%E -0.886%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:05
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:40
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:10
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.94%E -4.62%K -70.63%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 00:40
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -10.70%E -1.34%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 02:57
Parions Sport (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -12.93%E -1.66%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 02:00
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.04%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV -12.93%E -1.66%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-28 02:05
PlayUp1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -3.17%E -2.91%K -35.19%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -13.49%E -1.74%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:10
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.06%E -3.76%K -50.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-28 02:10
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.83%E -5.50%K -97.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 02:08
LeoVegas1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -7.61%E -7.32%K -190.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -16.28%E -2.17%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 00:40
Codere (IT)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.27%EV -6.72%E -6.40%K -134.42%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.73%EV -26.33%E -3.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-28 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 84.10%EV -7.61%E -7.32%K -190.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.90%EV -38.61%E -7.02%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-28 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-03-28 02:00
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-28 00:09
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.9%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%4.2%2026-03-28 03:10