L’École des cotes

Phoenix Suns v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 22:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prévision 58.39%1.71cote équitable
EV +7.45%
Avantage +4.05%
Kelly +8.87%
Croissance +0.660%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.30%58.43%58.41%60.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.8463.69%60.89%60.79%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.61%2.40cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.453%
Kelly +0.769%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.55%41.57%41.59%46.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.03%44.44%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV +7.45%E +4.05%K +8.87%G +0.660%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 21:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.729%E -0.429%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 21:45
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 21:25
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 21:59
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:50
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 22:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:20
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 22:10
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 21:59
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 22:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:48
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:09
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:30
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:50
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.148%E -0.062%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-21 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 22:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:55
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 22:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 22:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 22:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 22:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.50%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +1.10%E +0.453%K +0.769%G +0.008%4.0%2026-02-21 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-02-21 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-02-21 22:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-21 21:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-21 22:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%2.1%2026-02-21 22:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%5.2%2026-02-21 22:10