مدرسة الاحتمالات

Phoenix Suns v Orlando Magic

البداية: 2026-02-21 22:12 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Phoenix Suns (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.39%1.71السعر العادل
EV +7.45%
الأفضلية +4.05%
Kelly +8.87%
النمو +0.660%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.30%58.43%58.41%60.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.641.651.8463.69%60.89%60.79%54.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Orlando Magic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.61%2.40السعر العادل
EV +1.10%
الأفضلية +0.453%
Kelly +0.769%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.55%41.57%41.59%46.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.272.252.4347.62%44.03%44.44%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV +7.45%E +4.05%K +8.87%G +0.660%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-02-21 21:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -0.729%E -0.429%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -12.63%E -6.01%K -11.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 20:44
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.90%E -1.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 21:10
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 21:45
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 21:25
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.97%E -2.64%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 21:59
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:50
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 22:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:20
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.48%E -1.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 22:10
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 22:10
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 22:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.14%E -2.25%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 21:59
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -3.06%E -1.85%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 22:10
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:48
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 22:05
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:09
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:30
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:30
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:50
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -3.65%E -2.21%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -0.148%E -0.062%K -0.106%G +0.000%2.6%2026-02-21 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 21:59
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.23%E -2.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 21:50
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -4.82%E -2.95%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -10.13%E -4.69%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 22:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 21:45
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -2.64%E -1.13%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:55
888sport1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:45
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 21:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 22:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.40%E -3.33%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.80%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 22:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 22:09
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Betr (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.98%E -3.72%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:45
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.23%E -0.948%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:30
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.57%E -4.11%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 22:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -7.15%E -4.50%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +1.10%E +0.453%K +0.769%G +0.008%4.0%2026-02-21 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.32%E -5.30%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 22:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-02-21 21:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-02-21 22:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-02-21 22:10
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-21 21:55
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-21 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-02-21 22:10
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%2.1%2026-02-21 22:10
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%5.2%2026-02-21 22:10