Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns v New Orleans Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.20%61.52%61.41%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.561.6067.57%64.79%64.31%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.800%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%38.48%38.59%39.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.17%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 61.46%; New Orleans Pelicans (Visit): 38.54%. For New Orleans Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -8.42%E -5.65%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV +2.12%E +0.800%K +1.29%G +0.027%4.8%2026-03-07 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%EV -1.35%E -0.526%K -0.864%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-07 02:00
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 01:40
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 01:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 23:34
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:05
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.73%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.12%E -0.834%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-06 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.80%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV -2.12%E -0.834%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.50%E -0.990%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:29
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 01:39
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 01:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 01:49
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 23:44
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 01:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 01:48
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:09
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 02:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 01:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -8.42%E -5.65%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -3.66%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 01:54
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 01:59
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 00:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:34
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -8.42%E -5.65%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -4.43%E -1.79%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 01:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.20%E -2.11%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 23:49
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 23:49
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 01:20
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 01:25
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 01:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.19%E -4.76%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.74%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 01:25
Bet Right🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 02:04
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:59
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.03%E -6.10%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 02:03
MyBookie.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -7.90%E -3.30%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 23:50
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -8.42%E -5.65%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.37%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-07 02:05
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-07 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-07 02:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-07 02:04
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44%1.2%2026-03-07 02:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-07 01:59
BetOpenly1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%4.1%2026-03-07 01:55