Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 81.56%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 18.44%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.02%E +1.05%K +1.27%G +0.076% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.02%E +1.05%K +1.27%G +0.076% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 01:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.02%E +1.05%K +1.27%G +0.076% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +6.02%E +1.05%K +1.27%G +0.076% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47%EV +3.62%E +0.645%K +0.784%G +0.028% | 1.8% | 2026-03-22 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.02%E -6.16%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +1.41%E +0.257%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -0.432%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.432%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -0.432%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.02%E -6.16%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -0.432%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -1.35%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -1.35%E -0.253%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.69%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.31%EV -2.09%E -0.394%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -2.09%E -0.394%K -0.485%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -2.28%E -0.429%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.84%E -6.93%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -2.28%E -0.429%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.20%E -0.609%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 21:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 22:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 02:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.20%E -5.40%K -41.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-22 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.84%E -6.93%K -60.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.12%E -0.792%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-22 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.37%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.63%EV -5.78%E -1.13%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 02:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -5.96%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV -5.96%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -5.96%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -5.96%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 01:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -2.13%E -1.77%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 18:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 01:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.57%E -3.91%K -26.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -7.81%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 01:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.65%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.65%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 01:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.65%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.65%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -2.94%E -2.47%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV -10.57%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -11.50%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.39%E -4.65%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -11.50%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 02:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.42%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.76%E -3.18%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -12.42%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 02:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -7.02%E -6.16%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -14.26%E -3.07%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-22 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.13%E -1.77%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -17.03%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 23:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95% | 0.3% | 2026-03-22 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.97% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 17.03% | 2.1% | 2026-03-22 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 02:00 |