Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns v Houston Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 03:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 48.28%2.07fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.981%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.30%48.30%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.962.0354.05%50.94%51.02%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 51.72%1.93fair odd
EV -0.699%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.759%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.70%51.70%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.851.851.9256.82%54.13%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 48.28%; Houston Rockets (Visit): 51.72%. For Houston Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.92, with an expected value of -0.699%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.99%E -0.981%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-08 03:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.47%E -1.22%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.96%E -1.47%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-08 03:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 03:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 03:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 03:10
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 03:09
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 02:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.90%E -3.84%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 02:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.44%E -1.72%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.46%E -4.78%K -10.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 03:10
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 03:10
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:09
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:10
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 03:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 03:10
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.40%E -2.22%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 03:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 02:59
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -4.89%E -2.48%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-08 02:59
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.37%E -2.74%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.73%E -0.912%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-08 02:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:10
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:09
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:10
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:09
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:09
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 03:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 03:03
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.85%E -3.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 03:10
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 03:10
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.28%E -1.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 03:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.80%E -2.04%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.34%E -3.27%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.32%E -2.33%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 03:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.82%E -3.53%K -7.33%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 03:01
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.80%K -7.94%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -0.699%E -0.364%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 03:08
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.78%E -4.08%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.35%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 03:10
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.35%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.73%E -0.912%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.35%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.73%E -0.912%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.27%E -4.35%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -8.97%E -5.10%K -11.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-08 03:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.75%E -4.63%K -9.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 03:10
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -10.68%E -5.77%K -12.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.94%E -4.46%K -10.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 03:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-04-08 02:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-04-08 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-08 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-08 03:10
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-04-08 03:10
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-04-08 03:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-04-08 03:10
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%1.3%2026-04-08 03:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-04-08 03:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-04-08 03:10