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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors

2026-10-25 02:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Predicción 73.14%1.37momio equitativo
EV +0.938%
Ventaja +0.680%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.80%73.07%72.99%76.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.241.291.291.3880.65%77.30%77.22%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Golden State Warriors (Visitante)

Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV +7.43%
Ventaja +1.86%
Kelly +2.48%
Crecimiento +0.184%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.95%26.93%27.01%30.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.153.533.504.0031.75%28.32%28.57%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Phoenix Suns (Local): 73.14%; Golden State Warriors (Visitante): 26.86%. Para Golden State Warriors (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.72. 8 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +7.43%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +7.43%E +1.86%K +2.48%G +0.184%4.4%2026-10-24 05:24
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.74%E +1.22%K +1.63%G +0.077%5.0%2026-10-24 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +4.74%E +1.22%K +1.63%G +0.077%5.0%2026-10-24 05:25
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +3.40%E +0.882%K +1.19%G +0.040%4.1%2026-10-24 05:30
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +3.40%E +0.882%K +1.19%G +0.040%4.1%2026-10-24 05:20
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +2.05%E +0.541%K +0.734%G +0.015%3.8%2026-10-24 05:30
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +2.05%E +0.541%K +0.734%G +0.015%4.4%2026-10-24 05:25
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.712%E +0.190%K +0.259%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-24 05:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 05:25
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 05:30
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 05:30
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 05:30
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.631%E -0.171%K -0.234%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 05:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -1.97%E -0.541%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 05:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 05:30
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 05:25
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 05:25
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 05:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.32%E -0.921%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-24 05:25
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:25
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 05:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 05:25
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 05:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 05:20
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.38%E -4.98%K -22.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 05:25
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 05:25
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 05:25
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.18%E -3.19%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 05:30
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.97%EV -1.99%E -1.48%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.03%EV -7.61%E -2.21%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 05:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -2.72%E -2.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 05:24
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.72%E -2.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 05:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.72%E -2.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 05:25
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.72%E -2.04%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-24 05:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.91%E -3.78%K -16.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 05:25
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.64%E -4.38%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 05:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 05:25
betano_uk🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 05:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.40%EV -1.26%E -0.930%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.60%EV -9.49%E -2.82%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 05:22
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 05:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -8.57%E -6.86%K -34.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 05:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -7.84%E -6.22%K -30.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 05:30
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV +0.938%E +0.680%K +2.47%G +0.023%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -13.25%E -4.10%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 05:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV +0.938%E +0.680%K +2.47%G +0.023%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -14.33%E -4.49%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 05:22
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV +0.207%E +0.151%K +0.559%G +0.001%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 05:04
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.11%E -5.60%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -9.30%E -7.50%K -38.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 05:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.70%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.30%0.8%2026-10-24 05:30
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-10-24 05:25
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-10-24 05:30
ProphetX◎1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-10-24 05:25
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%4.3%2026-10-24 05:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%5.3%2026-10-24 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%5.3%2026-10-24 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%6.8%2026-10-24 05:25
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 73.43%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%10.7%2026-10-24 05:25
Arbitraje (34 combinaciones) +2.60%BetOnline.ag 1.38 (74.3%) / TAB 4.00 (25.7%)Ver las 34 combinaciones
Phoenix Suns (Local)Golden State Warriors (Visitante)Margen
BetUS🎯 1.38 (74.3%)TAB🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.60%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (74.3%)TAB🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.60%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (74.5%)TAB🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+2.05%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.9%)Neds🎯 3.90 (26.1%)+1.93%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.9%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 3.90 (26.1%)+1.93%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.9%)Neds🎯 3.90 (26.1%)+1.93%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.9%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 3.90 (26.1%)+1.93%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.85 (26.4%)+1.59%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.6%)SportsBet🎯 3.85 (26.4%)+1.59%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.85 (26.4%)+1.59%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.6%)SportsBet🎯 3.85 (26.4%)+1.59%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (74.0%)Neds🎯 3.90 (26.0%)+1.39%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (74.0%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 3.90 (26.0%)+1.39%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.4%)BetMGM🎯 3.80 (26.6%)+1.24%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.4%)Bovada🎯 3.80 (26.6%)+1.24%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.4%)BetMGM🎯 3.80 (26.6%)+1.24%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.4%)Bovada🎯 3.80 (26.6%)+1.24%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (73.8%)FanDuel🎯 3.85 (26.2%)+1.04%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (73.8%)SportsBet🎯 3.85 (26.2%)+1.04%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.35 (74.8%)TAB🎯 4.00 (25.2%)+0.935%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (73.1%)Fliff🎯 3.75 (26.9%)+0.877%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (73.1%)Fliff🎯 3.75 (26.9%)+0.877%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (73.5%)BetMGM🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (73.5%)Bovada🎯 3.80 (26.5%)+0.696%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Caesars🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Coral🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Coolbet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Caesars🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.8%)Coral🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.512%
1xBet🎯 1.34 (74.9%)TAB🎯 4.00 (25.1%)+0.375%
Unibet🎯 1.37 (73.2%)Fliff🎯 3.75 (26.8%)+0.342%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.35 (74.3%)Neds🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.35 (74.3%)Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
BetUS🎯 1.38 (72.6%)Winamax (DE)🎯 3.65 (27.4%)+0.139%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.38 (72.6%)Winamax (DE)🎯 3.65 (27.4%)+0.139%