Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 02:10 UTC

Final: Phoenix Suns 120–127 Denver Nuggets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 38.67%2.59fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.651%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.48%38.62%38.61%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.462.482.5646.51%40.71%40.32%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Nuggets (Visit)

Prediction 61.33%1.63fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%61.38%61.39%63.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.551.561.6270.42%64.35%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 38.67%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 61.33%. For Denver Nuggets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -0.638%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -1.02%E -0.397%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -9.84%E -6.69%K -20.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 02:05
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.40%E -0.550%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 01:35
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.40%E -0.550%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.40%E -0.550%K -0.905%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 01:50
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.18%E -0.860%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-31 01:35
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.18%E -0.860%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-31 00:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 02:00
Caesars🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-31 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 02:00
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -2.95%E -1.18%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 01:30
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-30 04:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 02:00
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 01:59
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-30 17:55
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 02:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 04:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 04:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 04:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-30 04:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.34%E -1.33%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.77%E -4.46%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 02:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.11%E -1.66%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-31 01:59
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.88%E -1.98%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 18:45
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-30 18:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 00:45
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.09%E -1.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-30 19:04
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 00:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 02:04
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 01:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 02:00
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 02:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.27%E -2.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.54%E -3.60%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-31 02:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -6.04%E -2.49%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.16%E -4.03%K -11.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 02:00
FanDuel🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -6.43%E -2.66%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -1.86%E -1.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -6.43%E -2.66%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.48%E -1.56%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-30 21:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -6.82%E -2.83%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 01:50
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 01:50
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 00:45
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.93%E -3.18%K -8.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 00:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.77%E -4.46%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.77%E -4.46%K -13.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -7.59%E -3.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.32%E -2.77%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-30 21:15
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.35%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.70%E -2.36%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-31 01:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.14%E -3.89%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.61%E -5.78%K -17.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 02:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.30%E -4.44%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.00%E -5.33%K -16.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 21:14
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -13.00%E -5.78%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.638%E -0.394%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.78%EV -16.87%E -7.85%K -14.67%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 60.22%EV -12.91%E -9.09%K -30.73%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-31 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-10-31 01:25
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-10-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-10-31 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-10-31 02:05
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-31 00:45
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-31 02:00
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-10-31 02:05
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%1.3%2026-10-31 01:45
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-10-31 02:05