Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 02:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Phoenix Suns (Local)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV +0.398%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.61%34.57%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.9039.22%36.47%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Celtics (Visit)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.39%65.43%67.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.471.5071.43%68.44%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 34.62%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 65.38%. For Phoenix Suns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.398%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.398%E +0.137%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:15
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -0.987%E -0.345%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-25 02:05
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.48%EV -1.33%E -0.468%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.52%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.8%2026-02-25 01:05
Bet Victor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.33%E -0.468%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.33%E -0.468%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-25 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.468%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 02:04
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.33%E -0.468%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 02:03
BetUS🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.03%E -0.716%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-25 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.37%E -0.841%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-25 02:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 01:59
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 02:04
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 02:04
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:19
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 01:55
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 02:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 00:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.06%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.16%E -5.04%K -17.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-24 20:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -3.76%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 01:04
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -4.45%E -1.61%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 02:04
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 00:20
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 00:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:49
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:54
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:54
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 02:10
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 01:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 02:00
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:09
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 02:09
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:20
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 00:20
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 23:50
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 20:24
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 23:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-25 02:05
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 02:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.22%E -2.69%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV -7.56%E -2.83%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-25 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.55%E -3.11%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.26%E -3.12%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-25 02:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.95%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.95%E -3.40%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 01:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:54
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-24 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -3.89%E -2.65%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 01:04
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-25 01:44
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -9.99%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.93%E -1.29%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.72%E -4.60%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84%0.1%2026-02-25 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-02-25 02:10
Novig3.04I 32.89%NM 32.74%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.26%0.5%2026-02-25 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-02-25 02:10
Polymarket2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%0.8%2026-02-25 02:09
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-02-25 02:00
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67%1.4%2026-02-25 02:05
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-02-25 02:10
ProphetX2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.1%2026-02-25 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%4.7%2026-02-25 02:10