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Philadelphia 76ers v San Antonio Spurs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Philadelphia 76ers (Local)
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.597%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%27.27%27.23%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.7530.77%28.48%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Antonio Spurs (Visit)
Prediction 72.74%1.37fair odd
EV -0.351%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.949%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.81%72.73%72.77%74.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3780.00%76.46%76.34%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 27.26%; San Antonio Spurs (Visit): 72.74%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +2.24%E +0.597%K +0.814%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.875%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.875%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.875%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.875%E +0.237%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.61%EV -0.761%E -0.209%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.39%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-03 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 07:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 21:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.85%E -0.514%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV -2.94%E -0.826%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.90%EV -2.94%E -0.826%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 01:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:46 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-03 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.62%E -6.00%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -5.12%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.54%EV -6.49%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.46%EV -0.351%E -0.256%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.53%E -1.89%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.08%E -7.26%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.53%E -1.89%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.53%E -1.89%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.39%E -3.51%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.91% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 74.09% | -0.0% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-04 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93% | 2.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |