Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v New York Knicks

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 23:11 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 94–108 New York Knicks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -0.974%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%58.21%58.23%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.631.631.7064.94%61.33%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Knicks (Visit)

Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.427%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.79%41.77%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.302.302.4246.95%43.56%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 58.25%; New York Knicks (Visit): 41.75%. For New York Knicks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV +1.03%E +0.427%K +0.728%G +0.008%1.9%2026-05-08 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -0.219%E -0.092%K -0.157%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 22:54
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.55%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.55%E -5.44%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.636%E -0.267%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:49
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -1.47%E -0.623%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-08 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.47%E -0.623%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 23:04
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 22:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:09
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:03
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:59
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:54
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:54
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:54
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.89%E -0.804%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 22:54
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.31%E -0.986%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-08 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:54
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.72%E -1.17%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.14%E -1.35%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 22:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.56%E -1.54%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -0.974%E -0.573%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 22:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-08 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:54
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:59
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.80%E -4.25%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.98%E -1.73%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 22:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.13%E -5.85%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.81%E -2.11%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.30%E -1.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 23:09
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:59
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.47%E -2.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.63%E -3.48%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 22:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.96%E -5.04%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.06%E -2.70%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -6.48%E -2.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -10.29%E -6.68%K -19.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -6.90%E -3.09%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 22:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 23:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.72%E -1.63%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.47%E -2.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 22:59
888sport🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 22:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.05%E -3.10%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -8.15%E -3.71%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 22:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.14%E -1.27%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -8.99%E -4.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 22:59
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -0.974%E -0.573%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -10.24%E -4.76%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -11.07%E -5.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%-0.0%2026-05-08 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-08 23:09
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-08 23:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-08 22:59
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-08 23:10
BetOpenly1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-05-08 22:54