The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Philadelphia 76ers v Milwaukee Bucks

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 23:41 UTC

Final: Philadelphia 76ers 127–116 Milwaukee Bucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

67 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 83.06%1.20fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -11.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.75%82.85%82.96%87.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.151.151.1892.59%87.11%86.96%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

Prediction 16.94%5.90fair odd
EV +27.02%
Edge +3.60%
Kelly +4.16%
Growth +1.12%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.59%17.15%17.04%21.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.155.495.507.5024.10%18.21%18.18%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 83.06%; Milwaukee Bucks (Visit): 16.94%. For Milwaukee Bucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.90. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -10.29%E -9.53%K -128.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +27.02%E +3.60%K +4.16%G +1.12%5.9%2026-10-24 23:40
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.85%E +0.937%K +1.12%G +0.065%5.3%2026-10-24 22:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +5.85%E +0.937%K +1.12%G +0.065%5.3%2026-10-24 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +3.31%E +0.543%K +0.650%G +0.022%4.1%2026-10-24 23:35
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-24 23:40
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.4%2026-10-24 23:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%5.2%2026-10-24 22:30
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-24 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-24 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +1.62%E +0.270%K +0.324%G +0.005%6.0%2026-10-24 21:55
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.074%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -0.074%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 83.29%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.71%EV -1.26%E -0.216%K -0.261%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-24 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.61%E -0.455%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.61%E -0.455%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-24 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.61%E -0.455%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:39
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.61%E -0.455%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.11%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.89%EV -3.29%E -0.577%K -0.699%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-24 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.09%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.91%EV -3.46%E -0.607%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-24 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.46%E -0.607%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 23:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -3.46%E -0.607%K -0.736%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 22:50
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -4.31%E -0.762%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 23:39
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV -4.31%E -0.762%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.87%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 17.13%EV -4.99%E -0.889%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 21:55
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -5.15%E -0.921%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:33
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -5.15%E -0.921%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-24 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.15%E -0.921%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 22:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.15%E -0.921%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 21:55
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.15%E -0.921%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 23:30
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.49%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.51%EV -6.68%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-24 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:35
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:24
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:35
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:35
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:30
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 22:30
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 23:30
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.85%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 23:35
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -8.54%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-24 23:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.54%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.56%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.44%EV -9.39%E -1.75%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 23:35
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 22:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 23:24
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 21:15
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -11.93%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -11.93%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.99%E -1.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.99%E -1.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.99%E -1.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -1.99%E -1.68%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:20
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:20
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:20
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:20
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -2.82%E -2.41%K -16.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-24 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 23:20
picklebet_au🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -4.48%E -3.89%K -29.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -13.62%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.65%E -3.14%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -15.32%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 23:20
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.31%E -4.66%K -37.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -17.01%E -3.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.28%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -22.09%E -4.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.93%EV -6.14%E -5.43%K -47.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -23.79%E -5.29%K -6.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.75%EV -6.97%E -6.22%K -58.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.25%EV -29.71%E -7.16%K -9.43%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-24 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-10-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.10%0.2%2026-10-24 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%0.4%2026-10-24 23:40
Smarkets◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-10-24 23:40
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-10-24 23:40
Polymarket◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-10-24 23:30
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-10-24 23:30
Matchbook◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-10-24 23:40
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-10-24 23:40
BetOpenly◎1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-10-24 23:15