Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers v Detroit Pistons

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 23:12 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Philadelphia 76ers (Local)

Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.456%
Kelly +0.759%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.27%40.43%40.18%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.382.402.5147.62%42.07%41.67%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 59.70%1.67fair odd
EV -0.296%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.442%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.57%59.82%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.591.591.6767.11%62.81%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 40.30%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 59.70%. For Philadelphia 76ers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV +1.15%E +0.456%K +0.759%G +0.009%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +0.743%E +0.297%K +0.495%G +0.004%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 22:19
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.743%E +0.297%K +0.495%G +0.004%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.063%E -0.025%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.063%E -0.025%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.063%E -0.025%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -0.063%E -0.025%K -0.043%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 23:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -0.869%E -0.353%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-04 22:45
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 21:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:19
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:59
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 22:59
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -1.27%E -0.519%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -2.08%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 22:09
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -2.08%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -2.08%E -0.855%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 23:09
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:04
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -2.48%E -1.03%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -2.88%E -1.20%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 22:44
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.49%E -0.903%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-04 22:49
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -2.09%E -1.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 23:09
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 22:39
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 22:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 23:09
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 22:49
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:10
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:59
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.29%E -1.37%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.46%E -4.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 22:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:09
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 23:09
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 23:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -4.50%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 22:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -4.50%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -8.65%E -5.66%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 22:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.49%E -0.903%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 23:04
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 23:08
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 23:09
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -6.11%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -11.04%E -7.41%K -22.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 23:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 23:09
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:10
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.32%E -3.18%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:10
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.49%E -0.903%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 23:09
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 23:04
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.296%E -0.177%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.296%E -0.177%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.296%E -0.177%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.35%E -5.16%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.296%E -0.177%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -13.36%E -6.21%K -11.62%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -5.07%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -15.38%E -7.32%K -13.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.45%E -6.96%K -20.89%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-04 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-04-04 23:10
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-04-04 23:05
Polymarket2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-04 23:05
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-04-04 23:09
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-04-04 23:10
Novig2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%1.4%2026-04-04 23:09
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-04-04 23:05
BetOpenly2.32I 43.10%NM 41.56%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.44%3.7%2026-04-04 22:45