Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Philadelphia 76ers (Local): 75.58%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 24.42%. For Brooklyn Nets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +2.58%E +0.613%K +0.805%G +0.021% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 17:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.85%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.15%EV +1.35%E +0.326%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.133%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +0.133%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.133%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.133%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.133%E +0.033%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -1.09%E -0.269%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.05%EV -2.06%E -0.515%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.577%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.62%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.38%EV -3.04%E -0.766%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -3.29%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.53%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.68%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.32%EV -4.26%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 17:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 17:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.51%E -1.94%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.51%E -1.94%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.35%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -13.30%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -13.30%E -3.75%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 78.31% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.69% | -0.2% | 2026-03-14 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 17:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.37% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |