L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Washington Wizards

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 88.89%1.13cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -22.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
85.87%88.70%88.93%90.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.081.081.1096.15%92.99%92.59%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Wizards (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.11%9.00cote équitable
EV +11.14%
Avantage +1.11%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.138%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.58%11.30%11.07%14.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.408.5010.0015.38%11.91%11.76%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +11.14%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.138%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV +7.81%E +0.805%K +0.897%G +0.070%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +5.59%E +0.588%K +0.657%G +0.037%4.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Dabble (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.67%E -6.35%K -133.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +5.59%E +0.588%K +0.657%G +0.037%5.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.63%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.33I 10.72%NM 10.37%EV +3.70%E +0.396%K +0.444%G +0.016%3.3%2026-03-04 00:09
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.68%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.32%EV +3.36%E +0.362%K +0.405%G +0.014%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.56%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.44%EV +2.92%E +0.315%K +0.353%G +0.010%3.4%2026-03-04 00:10
BetAnything1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +2.81%E +0.303%K +0.340%G +0.010%4.3%2026-03-04 00:10
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:09
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 00:10
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.67%E -6.35%K -133.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.028%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 00:00
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -0.528%E -0.059%K -0.066%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 00:10
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 89.07%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.93%EV -2.19%E -0.249%K -0.281%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:09
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.15%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.79I 11.38%NM 10.85%EV -2.31%E -0.262%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 23:58
Coolbet1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:09
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -2.75%E -0.314%K -0.355%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.42%E -0.514%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:00
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV -4.42%E -0.514%K -0.581%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 88.54%EV -2.23%E -2.02%K -22.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.46%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 23:58
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:10
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 00:10
NetBet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -7.56%E -7.27%K -188.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -5.53%E -0.650%K -0.737%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 23:59
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.49%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.51%EV -7.75%E -0.934%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 23:59
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -8.31%E -1.01%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:08
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -8.86%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 00:00
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 00:10
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:09
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.09%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:10
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -3.11%E -2.86%K -34.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Betway1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 00:09
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.78%E -5.45%K -96.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.64%E -2.22%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 00:10
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -2.23%E -2.02%K -22.26%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -19.42%E -2.68%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -22.20%E -3.17%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -4.00%E -3.71%K -50.04%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -23.31%E -3.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 00:06
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.87%EV -4.89%E -4.57%K -69.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -27.76%E -4.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.09I 91.74%NM 91.54%11.80I 8.47%NM 8.46%0.2%2026-03-03 23:59
ProphetX1.10I 90.91%NM 90.27%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.73%0.7%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-03-04 00:10
Polymarket1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Kalshi1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.89%10.87I 9.20%NM 9.11%0.9%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.7%2026-03-04 00:10